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Handicapping bowl games really has some different things to think about when attempting beating the line. And you apparently still must consider your standard statistical handicapping formulas; however there are some situations that are rather unique to all handicapping bowl games. Below are some I think to be central when doing your analysis.
#1 – seeks teams coming into the bowl with momentum…personally I like to watch the last games.
#2 – Watch for the “Oh, I’d better be home and watching TV” teams. Actually these are teams that feel they were really slighted in the game they accepted.
#3 – Apart from #2, watch out for those teams that are just excited to play there. Some teams that did not have any thoughts of taking part in a bowl at the very beginning of the game season tend to think their season has already been accomplished and thus either they win or not doesn’t actually matter. They feel their season is made.
#4 – Search for teams that have “been there, and done that”. So there is much hype and distractions at bowl game week thus teams that haven’t ever experienced it might be at a great disadvantage when playing with a team that has got bowl experience.
#5 – Find teams with coaches that have great experience in bowl game and specially a winning record, it shows a skill to “win the important game”. Experienced trainers have an advantage on preparing their players for the bowl hype over a trainer that is a fresh one.
#6 – Considering as every bowl game is actually played on neutral ground; it is in fact a road play for both teams. Teams which have poor road records will also have the added difficulty of dealing with the hype. Experience of the coaches plays a huge part in the training, discipline and behavior of the players being on the road.
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